Thursday, October 16, 2014

World Series Preview

Since the ALCS and NLCS are starting to wrap up, we here at the Weekly Lineup are going to give the first in-depth look into the prospect of the World Series. The Royals have already locked up the ALCS and are heading to the World Series after a 29 year playoff drought. The Giants are now up 3 – 1 and are only one win away from the World Series. Here's how the potential matchup looks on paper:

Royals:

Hitting:

The Royals lineup is nothing to write home about. As it turns out, the Royals may be benefiting from the right people getting hot at the right time. During the regular season, their team leader in average, Lorenzo Cain, hit .301.  Norichika Aoki was second in BA and hit .285. The Royals were 4th in batting average but in the bottom half in every other offensive category during the regular season. Alex Gordon lead the team in Home Runs, RBI's and OBP (19/74/.351). Some of you baseball fans may be saying “Dear Lord Baby Jesus, how did the Royals get this far, let alone get into the post season???” Two words: Small. Ball. The Royals offense is based solely on getting a guy on base any way possible and then doing anything to move him into scoring position. It is extremely effective if done correctly and that Royals have been experts thus far. Turn to the postseason and the Royals have been getting on base and hitting the ball well late in the game. Eric Hosmer is batting .448 with two Home Runs and 8 RBI's. Lorenzo Cain has continued his success batting .353 on his way to becoming the ALCS MVP.

Pitching:

The regular season strength of the Royals was their pitching. On a team that didn't score a bunch of runs, having a solid rotation was key. James Shields and Yordano Ventura tied with a team high 14 wins. Jeremy Guthrie was no slouch with 13 wins and Jason Vargas chipped in 11 wins of his own. The bullpen was a strength as well with closer Greg Holland who saved 46 games and was setup by Wade Davis would had 33 holds. Fast forward to the postseason and the starting pitching was turned on its head as Shields and Ventura have been rocked thus far and have combined for a total of one win this postseason. The real key piece of this team is their bullpen who a combined ERA below 2.00.

Giants:

Hitting:

The Giants' offense is lead by some big name players like Buster Posey, Hunter Pence, and Pablo Sandoval. They are seasoned veterans of the postseason having gone deep in the playoffs much in the past 5 years including two World Series titles. Posey lead the team in major offensive categories, posting a .311/22/89 slash line. Sandoval and Pence pitched in with high .270 batting averages. The Giants offense was by no means a juggernaut though. They were in the Top 10 of only one offensive category (batting average) in which they ranked 10th. The name of the game for the Giants is consistency. They aren't a streaky team, they get the job done regularly. Looking into the postseason, the Giants are an anomaly. They have only hit a total of 2 home runs but have racked up a total of 31 RBIs. They have also been bone dry at the plate with a team BA of .245. They have benefitted from getting runs in heaps and never looking back.

Pitching:

The Giants' pitching was inconsistent during the regular season except for Madison Bumgarner who racked up 20 wins. Big Time Timmy Jim Lincecum got 11 wins (second most on team), Tim Hudson added 9 wins and Ryan Vogelsong managed only 8. The Giants starting rotation was not getting many wins and was a giant question mark going into the postseason. Closer Sergio Romo was lifted from his role towards the end of the season because he was blowing saves like it was going out of style. Santiago Casilla stepped in seamlessly to close out 19 games. Giants pitching has made a complete 180 since the start of the postseason, posting a phenominal era of 2.10. Madison Bumgarner has lead the way with a 0.76 ERA and two wins.

Analysis


This has a chance to be one of the lowest rated World Series ever. There is the “feel good” story of the Royals not being in the postseason since 1985 and winning 8 straight games this postseason but I don't think this will be enough to draw the common fan. The downfall of the series will be a lack of household names and two smaller market teams. Besides the ratings, I'm picking the Royals to win in 6. The Royals will probably score runs after they outlast the Giants' starters and score some runs on the Giants' bullpen. Look for Lorenzo Cain to build off of his postseason success and become the World Series MVP.